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【英文】瑞银报告:中国会在电动汽车革命中占据主导地位吗(86页)

英文研究报告 2021年01月08日 06:16 1 管理员

We present our base case forecasts for global EV sales and penetration, updated  based on our latest EV battery teardown, in the table below. After comparing key  battery cells/packs from leading suppliers, industry cost reduction was a positive  surprise, with Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) achieving cost  leadership. In line with this finding, we now expect new energy vehicle (NEV) and  ICE cost parity in 2024. 

The EV race is a valuable opportunity for Chinese OEMs to disrupt the competitive  landscape in the auto sector, where Chinese carmakers struggle in low-end  markets with pressured margins, but global OEMs have seized the lion’s share of  China’s premium auto market.  In the following sections, we screen key building blocks we think are contributing  to the promising growth prospects for the Chinese EV sector, and support our  positive forecasts in the sector.

To determine which of the above scenarios might be more likely, we evaluate  Chinese, US, European, Japanese and Korean EV markets using a 20-item  scorecard measuring the technology and evolving EV development and adoption  environment in each region. While the US has the most comprehensive advantages  in terms of technological advancement, we believe China is close behind, while  also having favourable overall policies, infrastructure, and social attitudes towards  EV, creating a positive environment for EV development. China outperforms other  markets on an aggregate level on our scorecard. We expect China to make further  progress in technology, reducing costs and pushing EV penetration.

【英文】瑞银报告:中国会在电动汽车革命中占据主导地位吗(86页)

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资源名称:【英文】瑞银报告:中国会在电动汽车革命中占据主导地位吗(86页)


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