【英文】联合国贸发会：世界投资报告（184页）

英文研究报告 2024年07月08日 09:48 管理员

Global foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2023 decreased marginally, by 2 per cent, to $1.3 trillion. This headline fgure was affected by wild swings in fnancial fows through a small number of European conduit economies; excluding the effect of these conduits, global FDI fows were more than 10 per cent lower than in 2022. The global environment for international investment remains challenging in 2024. Weakening growth prospects, economic fracturing trends, trade and geopolitical tensions, industrial policies and supply chain diversifcation are reshaping FDI patterns, causing some multinational enterprises (MNEs) to adopt a cautious approach to overseas expansion. However, MNE proft levels remain high, fnancing conditions are easing and increased greenfeld project announcements in 2023 will positively affect FDI. Modest growth for the full year appears possible. International project fnance and cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) were especially weak in 2023. M&As, which mostly affect FDI in developed countries, fell by 46 per cent in value. Project fnance, important for infrastructure investment, was down 26 per cent. Tighter fnancing conditions, investor uncertainty, volatility in fnancial markets and – for M&As – tighter regulatory scrutiny were the principal causes of the decline.