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【英文】世界银行报告:2024年世界经济形势与展望(196页)

英文研究报告 2024年01月29日 07:54 管理员

The world economy proved more resilient than  expected in 2023 amid significant monetary  tightening and lingering policy uncertainties  worldwide, even as multiple shocks arising from  conflict and climate change wrought havoc on  the lives and livelihoods of millions, further  jeopardizing progress towards sustainable  development. Economic growth generally  outperformed expectations, especially in several  large developed and developing economies.  However, this apparent resilience masks both  short-term risks and structural vulnerabilities.  Amid high levels of debt, rising borrowing costs,  persistently low investment, weak global trade,  and mounting geopolitical risks, the global  economy is expected to grow at a subpar pace in  2024 and 2025. While a hard landing of the world  economy seems increasingly unlikely, accelerating  progress towards the Sustainable Development  Goals (SDGs) during a protracted period of  subdued growth will remain a daunting challenge. Global growth is projected to slow from an  estimated 2.7 per cent in 2023 to 2.4 per cent  in 2024 (see figure I.1 and table I.1). Growth is  forecast to improve moderately to 2.7 per cent in  2025 but will remain below the pre-pandemic trend  growth rate of 3.0 per cent. The short-term growth  prospects for most developing countries have  deteriorated. Forecasts indicate that many lowincome and vulnerable countries are likely to see  only modest growth in the coming years, making a  full recovery of pandemic losses ever more elusive.

【英文】世界银行报告:2024年世界经济形势与展望(196页)

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