【英文】CSIS报告：2024年人工智能政策预测（20页）

英文研究报告 2024年02月26日 09:25 管理员

Though the risk of AI leading to catastrophe or human extinction had been a focus for Elon Musk and many AI researchers in prior years, 2023 saw the issue become a genuine priority among global leaders and government policymakers. The shift was led by calls from high-profile figures in the private sector such as OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis, Tesla and xAI CEO Elon Musk, and AI “godfather” Geoffrey Hinton. In May, a coalition of over 350 leading AI experts and executives signed a one-sentence statement that “mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.”This statement immediately led to a rhetorical shift among global policymakers. Concern about AI’s malign impact on civilization trickled down to the wider U.S. public. A survey of more than 20,000 Americans by YouGov in April 2023 reported that 46 percent were concerned about AI’s potential to cause human extinction and 69 percent supported a proposed six-month pause on AI development.64 Similar anxieties about the potential catastrophic risk of AI echoed around Washington last year. At a congressional hearing in May, Sam Altman warned that AI could “cause significant harm to the world” and urgently called for greater regulation of the technology.