【英文】美国和平研究报告：在战略竞争时代加强美中战略稳定（68页）

英文研究报告 2021年05月06日 13:25 管理员

As strategic competition between the United States and China intensifes, the danger of a US-China military confrontation is no longer a far-fetched scenario. Despite recognition in both capitals of the growing risks of major power confict, the United States and China have few, if any, efective mechanisms to resolve their diferences peacefully. Enhancing strategic stability by lowering the risks of military, and especially nuclear, confict; managing emerging technologies and new frontiers of confict such as those in space and cyberspace; and preventing a destabilizing arms race are now more critical than ever to ensure that the United States and China can compete without disastrous consequences.

As the essays in this volume make clear, US-China relations are beset by a profound lack of trust and mutual skepticism of each other’s strategic intentions. Stark diferences in the two states’ nuclear doctrines, policies, and interests in arms control pose signifcant challenges to pursuing strategic risk reduction. In addition, an action-reaction dynamic is laying the foundation for a dangerous and costly arms race. US-China strategic stability discussions are further complicated by the fact that they are not just bilateral in nature, but also have critical implications for third parties, especially US allies, and are intertwined with other regional challenges. The sharp deterioration in the broader US-China bilateral relationship and disappointment with past bilateral exchanges have impeded meaningful dialogue on security-related issues and diminished the political appetite for cooperative measures.