【英文】世界银行报告：2022全球经济展望，增长放缓将延至2023年（240页）

英文研究报告 2022年01月24日 07:59 管理员

Inflation in 2021 was above target ranges in more than half of inflationtargeting emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). Although rising price pressures have pushed up near-term inflation expectations in many EMDEs, medium-term expectations have remained broadly stable in most cases. In response to inflationary pressures and currency depreciation, central banks in more than a third of EMDEs, particularly in energy importers, have increased policy rates.A growing number of EMDEs have tightened monetary policies to respond to inflationary pressures and currency depreciation. The removal of pandemic-related fiscal support may not be sufficient to stabilize debt levels in light of persistently weak revenues, and softer-than projected growth or an abrupt tightening of financing conditions could trigger a deterioration in fiscal sustainability gaps.

To bolster green, resilient, and inclusive development over the longer term, it will be essential to implement policies that enhance crisis prevention, preparedness, and response; that help countries cope with commodity price shocks, and that address rising inequality.Inflation in 2021 was above central bank target ranges in over half of inflation-targeting EMDEs (figure 1.17.A). Rising inflationary pressures have pushed up near-term inflation expectations in many EMDEs; however, medium-term expectations have remained broadly stable in the majority of the countries for which there are data (figures 1.17.B and 1.17.C). To preempt the possibility of longer-lasting inflationary pressures, central banks in more than a third of EMDEs— particularly in energy importers—increased policy rates last year (figure 1.17.D).