【英文】高盛报告：碳经济学—重新设想欧洲能源系统（65页）

The outputs of our model for Europe’s energy system evolution and transformation are presented throughout the exhibits of this report. Overall, Europe’s gross energy evolution (gross available energy has been defifined in the previous section of this report), modeled across sectors and fuels, is presented in the Exhibit 21 below, and the fifinal energy consumption (also defifined in the previous section of this report) with its mix evolution is shown in Exhibit 22. We see the region (EUR27+UK) gradually reducing its overall gross energy consumption and energy intensity, a result of ongoing improvements in effificiency and switch to alternative cleaner and more, on aggregate, effificient sources of energy (such as electrifification). 

More importantly, we expect the mix of the gross European energy to completely transform in the coming years from largely relying on imported hydrocarbons (oil and oil products, solid fossil fuels and natural gas) to predominantly relying on domestic renewable energy sources and fuels (renewable power, bioenergy, hydrogen, nuclear). A combination of more sustainable but also largely domestically produced energy sources will lead, in our view, to both a more sustainable, secure and independent energy system, with a lower reliance on imported energy and lower carbon footprint. This section of the report addresses how the European energy system could evolve to be (1) more sustainable with a lower carbon footprint, (2) more secure and independent through a reduced reliance on imported energy sources, (3) more resilient through an ecosystem of technologies extending beyond renewable power especially with regards to energy storage to support seasonal and intraday imbalances in such a system, and (4) more affordable.