【英文】兰德报告：评估印太地区大国合作的前景（210页）

英文研究报告 2023年03月10日 07:45 管理员

Great power competition with China and Russia may be the defining characteristic of the next several decades of the 21st century. An understanding of whether it is possible to cooperate with either country (or both) on key U.S. policy goals and, if so, what implications such cooperation might carry for relations with the other power, is an important component of assessing the best pathway forward for U.S. foreign and defense policies. Cooperation with China and/or Russia might help tamp down intensifying strains in the Indo-Pacific region; help advance key shared interests; and/or prove useful in enhancing the ability of the United States to compete vis-à-vis the other power. Across seven key U.S. policy goals—maintaining a peaceful and open regional order; promoting and preserving regional alliances; expanding strategic cooperation with Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam; managing cross-Strait differences between China and Taiwan; achieving the denuclearization of North Korea;

countering terrorism and violent Islamist extremism in Afghanistan and Southeast Asia; and shaping India’s regional role and strategic orientation—what is the trade space for cooperation? What are the obstacles to such cooperation? And how might cooperation with one power affect the other?As the United States responds to the challenge of a renewed era of great power competition with the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Russia, it is important for U.S. policymakers and defense officials to understand how these two key actors view the steps America takes to cooperate with the other country in key spaces and on important policy issues.2 Where do Washington’s policy goals overlap or come into conflict with the aims of Beijing and Moscow? To what extent can the United States reasonably seek to achieve meaningful cooperation on its key policy goals? And what would the implications of cooperating with China or Russia on each of these issues be for relations with the other nation?