【英文】世界经济论坛报告：2023年首席经济学家展望报告（29页）

Perhaps unsurprisingly, chief economists  see the most buoyant economic activity  among the economies of Asia. For China, in  particular, there is near unanimity that growth  will be moderate or better this year, a sharp  improvement from January when this was  the expectation of only half of respondents.  China’s borders have been reopening  following the decision in late 2022 to unwind  the country’s stringent zero-COVID policies.  This change has transformed the growth  outlook not just for China but for its  regional neighbours too. 

Accordingly, 93%  of chief economists expect at least moderate  growth in East Asia and Pacifific, with 39%  expecting strong or very strong growth. The  outlook for South Asia is broadly similar,  with 92% expecting at least moderate  growth, and 36% expecting strong or very  strong growth. While both of these regions  are likely to benefifit from both rebounding  activity in China and expected changes in  global supply chains (a topic discussed in  section 3), it is important to note that tighter  international fifinancial conditions are already  placing signifificant strain on a number of  regional economies, such as Pakistan, Sri  Lanka, Lao PDR and Mongolia.