【英文】2020年全球风险报告（102页）

英文研究报告 2020年02月06日 14:33 管理员

Today’s risk landscape is being shaped in significant measure by an unsettled geopolitical environment—one in which new centres of power and influence are forming—as old alliance structures and global institutions are being tested. While these changes can create openings for new partnership structures, in the immediate term, they are putting stress on systems of coordination and challenging norms around shared responsibility. Unless stakeholders adapt multilateral mechanisms for this turbulent period, the risks that were once on the horizon will continue to arrive. The good news is that the window for action is still open, if not for much longer. And, despite global divisions, we continue to see members of the business community signal their commitment to looking beyond their balance sheets and towards the urgent priorities ahead. The Global Risks Initiative It is fitting that this year’s report, which makes clear the need for a multistakeholder approach to mitigating risk, coincides with the Forum’s 50th anniversary. As the international organization for public-private cooperation, the Forum brings together leaders from the business, government and non-profit communities for action-oriented deliberations and uses the conclusions of this report to inform its multistakeholder initiatives throughout the year. Indeed, the Global Risks Report is itself the result of a multistakeholder process. I am grateful for the long-standing relationship with our strategic partners, Marsh & McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group, who offered invaluable input to produce this publication.

I am also grateful to our academic partners: the National University of Singapore, the Oxford Martin School of the University of Oxford, and the Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center at the University of Pennsylvania. Over the course of developing the report, the Forum benefited from a committed Advisory Board, who shaped the direction of early drafts and provided beneficial comments and insight throughout the writing process. The Forum also hosted a range of representatives from the public and private sectors in September and October for discussions in Geneva, New York and Washington, DC, insights from which can be found in these pages. The foundation of the report is our annual Global Risks Perception Survey, completed by approximately 800 members of the Forum’s diverse communities. I am particularly proud that for the first time we are also featuring the results from more than 200 members of our Global Shapers Community—a generation of emerging global social entrepreneurs and leaders. This younger generation is increasingly using its digital savviness—and its feet—to spotlight issues, particularly relating to climate change, that it sees as existential risks not only to its generation but to the wider global community.