【英文】欧洲安全研究所报告：全球未来战争预测（110页）

英文研究报告 2020年12月28日 06:21 管理员

Exploring the pitfalls of prospective approaches or for pointing out some of their limits, they are not necessarily neutral or unbiased. In seeking to go beyond the present, science fiction sometimes raises profound issues that should not be overlooked. What is left of ‘face-to-face’ conflicts in these imaginary worlds, which more readily focus on guerrilla warfare, cyber-technology, etc. and assume post-apocalyptic situations as a starting point? This literature also reflects the fears and anxieties of an era.

To be relevant, the approach we propose must rely on a large number of science fiction and fantasy novels in order to identify those that stand out from the rest, as well as to reveal the way in which these imaginative takes on the future evolve over time. Since these works tend to be mutually cross-fertilising, and have the potential to inspire forthcoming events, it is important to weigh up the value and likelihood of each of these imaginary versions of the future. These imaginative constructs of the future have the potential to confront us with alternative and challenging versions of what lies ahead. They are, finally, a magnifying mirror to help us take a step back from our own biased projections.