【英文】联合国贸发会报告：乌克兰战争的全球影响：数十亿人面临一代人以来最大的生活成本危机（25页）

英文研究报告 2022年06月29日 07:01 管理员

Fast-growing numbers of hungry people are at the leading edge of the cost-ofliving crisis. In 2022, between 179 and 181 million people are expected to face Crisis or worse conditions (IPC/CH Phase 3 or higher) in 41 out of the 53 countries where data are monitored by the Global Network Against Food Crises. The increase in hunger since the start of the war may in fact be higher and more widespread. In planning ahead for its operations in 81 countries, as of now WFP estimates that in just two years, the number of severely food insecure people doubled from 135 million pre-pandemic to 276 million at the start of 2022. The ripple effects of the war in Ukraine are expected to drive this number up to 323 million in 2022.

36 million people are forecasted to face Emergency conditions or worse (IPC/CH Phase 4 or higher) in 36 countries in 2022, according to the Global Network Against Food Crises.27 Because of the shock of the war, among other factors, the number of chronically undernourished people are expected to increase in 2022, according to FAO. Under a moderate shock scenario, the global number of undernourished people in 2022 would increase by 7.6 million. Under a severe shock scenario, the number of undernourished people will increase by 13.1 million.28 Simulating the export shortfall expected from Ukraine and the Russian Federation during 2022 and 2023, and assuming no increase in the global availability of food as a result of increased food production elsewhere, FAO expects the number of undernourished people will increase by close to 19 million in 2023.