【英文】中国军事力量增长评估报告（90页）

英文研究报告 2022年07月15日 06:33 管理员

Threat inflflation is a major problem in evaluating China’s military capabilities and the military security-related intentions of China’s leadership. With some notable exceptions, U.S. authoritative assessments (and especially nonauthoritative ones) often employ inadequate, distorted, or incorrect evidence, use grossly hyperbolic language, display sloppy or illogical thinking, or rely on broad-brush assertions that seem to derive more from narrow political, ideological, or emotional impulses than from any objective search for truth.

Framing the military challenge Beijing poses in categorical and exceedingly alarmist, worst-case ways removes the need to determine the limits of Chinese threats. China becomes 10 feet tall, undeterred from wanting to destroy the United States except by a massive U.S. counterforce. Such threat inflflation also undermines those voices within China that favor moderation, signifificantly raises the danger of Sino–American crises and military conflflict, and diverts huge amounts of U.S. resources away from desperately needed nonmilitary uses at home and abroad.