【英文】哈佛报告：“一带一路”倡议在欧洲：俄乌战争期间跨大西洋应对的机会（64页）

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has for years held a prominent  position in the global infrastructure investment space. In the absence of  similarly far-reaching projects coordinated by other countries including  the transatlantic partners, important questions about the BRI’s implications  for Europe and America arise. Given U.S.-China competition pulling the  EU in two directions and opposing approaches among member states  vis-à-vis China amid a globally growing infrastructure investment gap,  the need for a liberally motivated1 large-scale infrastructure investment  approach is clear. 

This alternative model of advancing economic  development goals stands in opposition to the BRI’s approach of creating  economic dependence on China through massive recipient country debt  thereby increasing Chinese geopolitical power.  If this need is not addressed, the U.S. and EU would lose narrative  power and infuence in shaping the world order while giving way to  growing Chinese authoritarian infuence and increasing transatlantic  partnership-internal policy incoherence, which could result in weakening  the Western alliance. Further risks include greater international appeal of  China’s authoritarian governance model, growth in authoritarian political  infuence on international standard setting, decline of good governance  standards, and security vulnerabilities of critical infrastructure. All of these  would be concerning given direct risks and policy challenges created for  the EU and the U.S.