【英文】德国智库报告：为长期战争做准备：2024年俄乌有可能停火吗？（19页）

英文研究报告 2024年01月17日 07:14 管理员

Nearly two years after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, the war is gradually transforming. Ukraine managed to thwart Russia’s initial plans, defending not only Kyiv, but liberating the northeastern part of the country, nearly the entire Kharkiv region, and parts of the Kherson region, including its capital. Still, approximately 18 percent of Ukraine’s territory remains occupied.4 Ukraine could only launch its long-awaited counter-offensive in early June 2023, mostly due to the slow and cumbersome deliveries of much-needed Western heavy weaponry and ammunition and the sluggish training of Ukrainian soldiers. This provided Russia with sufficient time to dig in its forces, build extensive fortifications, and thus strengthen its grasp on the occupied territories. The Ukrainian counter-offensive has brought mixed results. On the one hand, Ukrainian forces considerably downgraded Russia’s already scarce pool of welltrained infantry and caused significant losses for the Russian artillery and armored troops. In the Zaporizhzhia section of the front line, Ukraine enjoyed artillery superiority during the summer months, inflicting heavy losses on Russian troops.