【英文】美国军力评估报告：导弹防御（21页）

英文研究报告 2021年11月04日 10:57 管理员

Missiles remain a weapon of choice for many U.S. adversaries who view them as cost-efective and symbols of power compared to other types of conventional weapons.1 The number of states that possess missiles will continue to increase, as will the sophistication of these weapons as modern technologies become cheaper and more widely available. Despite U.S. diplomatic eforts, North Korea continues its aggressive pursuit of a nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) program—including a new “monster” ICBM supposedly able to carry multiple warheads and decoys—that will allow it to strike the United States. It also recently tested ground-based and sea-based ballistic missiles and appears to direct its missile advancements toward overcoming U.S. missile defenses.2 Iran continues to modernize and proliferate its regional missile systems.

Its recent successful solid-fuel rocket launch demonstrates that Iran has the ability to build and successfully launch sophisticated missiles, which implies that it has or is developing the ability to advance to the ICBM level of capability.3 China and Russia, in addition to their vast ballistic missile inventories, are investing in new ground-launched, air-launched, and sea launched cruise missiles that uniquely challenge the United States in diferent domains and are deploying new hypersonic glide vehicles.4 China is rapidly building up its missile inventory, to include hundreds of new silo-based ICBMs and road-mobile ICBMs that reportedly can carry 10 warheads, as well as theater-range missiles that can strike U.S. assets with precision.5 Russia is developing entirely new capabilities, such as a nuclearpowered cruise missile, that are intended to avoid U.S. sensors and missile defenses, and its conventionally armed sea-launched and air-launched cruise missiles can strike strategic nodes within the U.S. homeland, even from Russian territory.