【英文】威尔逊中心报告：2021-22中美政策总结报告（383页）

英文研究报告 2022年08月29日 07:53 管理员

If respondents are sensitive to these signals, we should expect them to shif preferences in-line with the treatment they were shown. As Table 5 summarizes, however, we see little indication that respondents are internalizing such signals to update their perceptions of the underlying rivalry. In no instance is there any indication that the randomly assigned rhetoric treatment has any measurable impact on respondents’ qualitative assessments of rivalry, nor does there appear to be any impact on overall hawkishness. Taken together, the fndings suggest that respondent sentiments are relatively stable and not particularly sensitive to domestic framing. Again, this fnding stands in contrast to conventional interpretations of Chinese public opinion on foreign policy as being pliant and politicized.In addition to domestic factors, Chinese citizens presumably form some of their attitudes toward the United States in response to policy and rhetoric coming out of Washington D.C.

In particular, the popular victimization frame suggests that respondents might feel under threat from or that they are being unfairly treated by the United States. It has, for instance, become commonplace for Chinese diplomats to aggressively protest and deny external criticism of China—especially when it concerns issues that considered to be of internal concern, such as human rights or ethnic policy. In other words, hawkishness in Chinese public opinion might operate in part as a reactionary and emotional response to external criticism. By the same token, we might expect that praise for China’s achievements, in addition to criticism, might endear citizens in a more positive direction. To explore these emotional factors, I embedded an experiment in both waves of the survey whereby respondents were primed with one of three statements attributed to western governments indicating criticism, either over China’s perceived economic opportunism and human rights abuses, or praise for developmental achievements, and then asked to write down some of their feelings in response to the statements.