【英文】社会研究所报告：美国正在发动一场新冷战（99页）

At the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos (Switzerland) on May  23, 2022, former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger made some  remarks about Ukraine that struck a nerve. Rather than be caught up “in  the mood of the moment,” Kissinger said, the West—led by the United  States—needs to enable a peace agreement that satisfes the Russians.  “Pursuing the war beyond [this] point,” Kissinger said, “would not be  about the freedom of Ukraine, but a new war against Russia itself.” Most  of the commentary from the Western foreign policy establishment rolled  their eyes and dismissed Kissinger’s comments. Kissinger, no peacenik,  nonetheless indicated the great danger of escalation towards not only the  establishment of a new iron curtain around Asia but perhaps open—and  lethal—warfare between the West and Russia as well as China. Tis sort of  unthinkable outcome was too much, even for Henry Kissinger, whose boss,  former President Richard Nixon, spoke frequently of the Madman Teory  of international relations; 

Nixon told his chief of staf Bob Haldeman  that he had his “hand on the nuclear button” to terrify Ho Chi Minh into  capitulation.During the lead-up to the U.S.’s illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003, I spoke to  a senior member of the U.S. State Department who told me that the prevailing theory in Washington amounts to a simple slogan: short-term pain  for long-term gain. He explained that the general view is that the nation’s  elites are willing to tolerate short-term pain for other countries—and  perhaps for working people in the United States, who could experience  economic difculties due to the disruptions and carnage created by war.Short term pain, long-term gain defnes the dangerous escalation by the  United States and its Western allies against Russia and China. What is  striking about the posture of the United States is that it seeks to prevent  a historical process that seems inevitable, which is the process of Eurasian  integration. After the collapse of the U.S. housing market and the major  credit crisis in the Western banking sector, the Chinese government,  alongside other Global South countries, pivoted to build platforms that  were not dependent upon the markets of North America and Europe.