【英文】联合国报告：世界经济形势与展望（28页）

英文研究报告 2023年05月30日 08:27 管理员

Uncertainties and poor growth prospects continue to bedevil the world economy. A confluence of factors – the long reach of the COVID-19 pandemic, the lingering war in Ukraine, the ever-worsening impacts of climate change, and growing policy challenges – has pushed many countries to the brink, even as the global picture shows slight improvement. Stubbornly high inflation in both developed and developing countries in the aftermath of the pandemic prompted the most aggressive interest rate hikes in decades.

Despite rising rates, household spending and employment – especially in the developed economies – have remained resilient, making it harder for central banks to tame inflation. Against this backdrop, the deceleration in global growth for 2023 – as projected earlier – is likely to be less severe than previously anticipated, mainly due to persistently robust household spending in the largest economies, especially in the United States and the European Union, as well as the recovery in China. Global growth is now projected to slow from 3.1 per cent in 2022 to 2.3 per cent in 2023 (up from 1.9 per cent forecast in January) (figure 1).